Issue 36 – Team Transitory Wins the First Round

A Snapshot of the Market for the Week Ended September 17, 2021:

U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in August, snapping a string of hefty gains suggesting that some of the upward pressure on inflation is waning. The headline inflation gauge rose 0.3% from July registering a y/y increase of 5.3% while core prices rose only 0.1% m/m reducing the y/y increase to 4.0%. Meanwhile, import prices slipped 0.3% for August versus a consensus for a 0.3% increase, and July’s 0.4% rise. Thankfully, inflation is not exploding and market confidence in the deflationary forces is present. Bond investors are predicting that over the next twelve months consumer prices will rise around 4.5%, then decelerate to 2.1% in the following four years.


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By Hubert Marleau

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By Hubert Marleau

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